Tuesday, November 27, 2007

You can't help but laugh

No commentary. Just imagine how ridiculous this would be if it happened. Also, two prefatory notes. WP48 is wins produced per 48 minutes. Chris Bosh had 11 12.6 wins produced last year.

Okay, enough on Durant. Let’s turn to a player who entered the league with far less fanfare. Few people took notice when the Toronto Raptors signed the undrafted Jamario Moon this past summer. But after a few weeks of the 2007-08 season it looks like Moon will easily produce more wins this season than Durant. In fact, Moon might have already produced more wins than Durant will in 2007-08. After just ten games Moon has produced 1.4 victories. Durant is going to have to improve substantially to match that total this season.

Moon is not a scorer. He only averages 8.7 points per game and his shooting efficiency is only about average. Moon makes up for his lack of scoring by being well above average with respect to rebounds, steals, and blocked shots. Consequently this small forward has posted a 0.239 WP48 [average is 0.100]. If he continues to play 29 minutes a night he will play about 2,250 minutes before the season is over. If his per-minute performance continues, he will produce 11.2 wins, or about 6.5 wins more than an average small forward would offer in Moon’s time.

1 comment:

Ghost Raptor said...

Actually I think it was 12.6 wins last year, 11 the year before. Should note that WoW credits Jorge Garbejosa with 1.3 wins last season but I'm not sure whether he is considered a SF or PF which is important in a VORP-type metric.

Whether you believe Wins Produced is a good measurement or not, it does credit efficient scorers and players with exceptional stat-producing abilities for their positions (ie. Jason Kidd's rebounding)

If Jamario Moon is displaying those characteristics continually then he can play for my team.